Cautious-Audience
0xad98b548e6e88a562e76c7e6a7261fdeb15790bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$6.40
Total PnL
$-14.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?
845 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.27
$-421.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in May 2026?
853 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.43
$-426.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in May 2026?
852 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.43
$-425.57
- YES
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
852 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.43
$-425.57
- YES
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
851 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.43
$-425.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
848 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.42
$-423.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
848 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.42
$-423.58
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
844 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.42
$-421.58
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
843 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.42
$-421.08
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
842 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.42
$-420.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$840.13May 18, 10:59 UTC
- SPLITWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$841.00May 18, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$841.12May 18, 10:58 UTC
- SPLITWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$842.00May 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$842.12May 17, 11:38 UTC
- SPLITWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$843.00May 17, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$843.12May 17, 11:37 UTC
- SPLITWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$844.00May 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in May 2026?$0.86May 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.80May 16, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$842.11May 16, 08:49 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$843.00May 16, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$843.11May 16, 08:47 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$844.00May 16, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$0.85May 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$843.11May 15, 09:03 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$844.00May 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?$55.92May 15, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?$788.17May 15, 08:56 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?$845.00May 15, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $545.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".