Austere-Tussle
0xada3696694e72779ea278a87318f298e1ef1c449
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$51.90
Total PnL
$-54.71
Realised
$3.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
32 shares @ 62.8¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.73
$-0.27
- YES
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.45
$-5.55
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
47 shares @ 21.3¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.76
$-1.24
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.15
$-4.85
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
45 shares @ 22.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.81
$-6.19
- LEEDS UNITED FC
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?
31 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$0.28May 11, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.24May 11, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)$5.15May 11, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$15.15May 11, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?$5.13May 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5$5.10May 11, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$5.12May 11, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.21May 11, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$0.00May 8, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?$0.00May 8, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00May 8, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$0.01May 8, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00May 8, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.00May 8, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00May 8, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00May 8, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.00May 8, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00May 8, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$0.00May 8, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00May 8, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $8.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 20:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".