Thick-Error
0xade4fa2dfd80a426d74c9f565887170d66cbe91d
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$625.28
Total PnL
$24.56
Realised
$2.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
150 shares @ 38.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$104.23
$46.73
- 70K
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$62.50
$20.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?
50 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$49.99
$39.49
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
30 shares @ 97.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$28.35
$-0.75
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
30 shares @ 95.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$27.81
$-0.69
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
30 shares @ 90.5¢·now 82.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.82
$-2.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 52.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.25
$-1.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.83
$0.21
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.47
$0.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.15
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$0.59May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$5.58May 18, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?$4.58May 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?$5.92May 14, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$49.98May 12, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$50.00May 12, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?$50.00May 12, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$18.40May 11, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$35.00May 10, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 May 4-10?$50.00May 8, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?$40.00May 6, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$20.00May 6, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$35.00May 6, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?$4.00May 6, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 May 4-10?$19.50May 6, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$3.67May 5, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$7.49May 5, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$3.76May 5, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$3.95May 5, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$7.52May 5, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $21.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".