Annual-Joy
0xae12e4a38e4982cab270b211ff480b547b3d6f68
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$49.80
Total PnL
$-4.75
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
5 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.86
$0.06
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.81
$-0.71
- NO
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
- NO
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.29
$-1.21
- NO
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
4 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.08
$0.08
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
4 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.05
$0.30
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$3.36
$0.02
- NO
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.30
$0.03
- NO
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
3 shares @ 95.4¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.55
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.01May 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?$2.00May 15, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$2.55May 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 25, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$5.52Apr 19, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.75Apr 19, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 15?$3.80Apr 18, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 15?$3.72Apr 15, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$1.13Apr 12, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$4.00Apr 11, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$3.40Apr 7, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $3.34Apr 6, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$3.71Apr 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?$209.50Apr 5, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?$42.38Apr 5, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?$5.00Apr 5, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?$15.27Apr 5, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?$5.00Apr 5, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?$376.24Apr 5, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?$14.50Apr 5, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $71.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".