Murky-Repayment
0xae2a545c068389c5aab3466cecef33259e55384d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$218.24
Total PnL
$-241.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?
1085 shares @ 30.4¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$151.90
$-177.94
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
50 shares @ 54.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.00
$-6.00
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?
125 shares @ 34.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.00
$-22.60
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?
50 shares @ 43.3¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.25
$-6.40
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.10
$4.90
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?
65 shares @ 8.4¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.99
$-2.46
- YES
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?
240 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-16.22
- YES
Paradex FDV above $5B one day after launch?
175 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-8.75
- YES
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?
80 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMAztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 15, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMRanger FDV above $20M one day after launch?$0.00Feb 15, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMZama FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMRanger FDV above $40M one day after launch?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMRanger FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.00Feb 5, 05:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $65.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 23:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".