Windy-Fail
0xae3b7b0e48588e20caf5452037af4c0629e86b94
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$44.30
Total PnL
$-2.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
23 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$22.52
$1.09
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?
20 shares @ 72.9¢·now 67.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$13.47
$-1.19
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?
19 shares @ 40.4¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$5.82
$-2.02
- YES
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
41 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?$1.04May 14, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?$10.74May 14, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?$7.52May 14, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?$3.89May 14, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?$1.04May 14, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?$10.75May 14, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?$7.30May 14, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?$4.13May 14, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?$1.01May 14, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $5.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".