Occasional-Speaking
0xae86bd1cb0c6a221685bb9675a0776c11577bae0
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$7.40
Total PnL
$-33.27
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$-0.03
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?
1069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.07
$-1.07
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 28?
4200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 13?
1088 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 6?
1085 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 14?
1077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 22?
1073 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?
1068 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$2.14May 18, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 on May 11?$1.1KMay 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 on May 11?$1.1KMay 12, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$1.1KMay 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$1.1KMay 11, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$1.1KMay 11, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$1.1KMay 10, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$3.20May 9, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.28May 4, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 2?$2.12May 2, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 22?$3.22Apr 22, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 14?$2.15Apr 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?$2.16Mar 31, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 22?$2.12Mar 22, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 13?$0.03Mar 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 13?$3.23Mar 13, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 19?$1.1KFeb 20, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 19?$1.1KFeb 19, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18?$1.1KFeb 19, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18?$1.1KFeb 18, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $558.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 12:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".