0xaeabcf74b689e566c79cc91736b88a3c8843c199
0xaeabcf74b689e566c79cc91736b88a3c8843c199
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-560.36
Realised
$131.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1457 shares @ 68.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$104.66
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1118 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$39.13
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1199 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.0K
$29.97
- NO
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?
729 shares @ 69.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$683.44
$176.95
- YES
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?
1836 shares @ 77.2¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$596.84
$-821.02
- NO
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
779 shares @ 63.8¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$440.25
$-57.25
- NO
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
346 shares @ 57.5¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$206.07
$7.07
- YES
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
611 shares @ 53.6¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$171.15
$-156.25
- YES
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
66 shares @ 39.1¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$24.48
$-1.42
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 79.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.10
$-13.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$1.9KMay 17, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$995.00May 16, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$995.00May 16, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$995.00May 16, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$167.18May 16, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$0.00May 16, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?$0.00May 16, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?$100.62May 16, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 14?$403.42May 16, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?$502.88May 16, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 14?$626.97May 16, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$5.88May 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?$99.56May 15, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$99.55May 15, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$49.77May 15, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$99.55May 15, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$99.55May 15, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?$99.61May 15, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$199.23May 15, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$99.70May 15, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $235.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 13:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".