Earnest-Earthquake
0xaeb17f4e56d1ca28e516674d1543af958b152614
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$11.35
Total PnL
$-473.59
Realised
$2.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?
400 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$7.60
$-10.34
- YES
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.10
$-2.86
- YES
Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick win Survivor Season 50?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.50
$-3.98
- YES
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
100 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.15
$-16.35
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
2032 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-95.50
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
670 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-53.90
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
350 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-19.95
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
314 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-132.88
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
128 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-18.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?$4.91Apr 15, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?$1.33Apr 15, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?$1.61Apr 15, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?$8.65Apr 15, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?$9.00Apr 15, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?$8.94Apr 15, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$5.96Apr 15, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick win Survivor Season 50?$4.48Apr 15, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.17Sep 24, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.40Sep 24, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$21.00Sep 24, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$18.00Jun 24, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$32.00Nov 6, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$3.04Nov 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$21.70Nov 5, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$25.65Nov 5, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$1.60Nov 5, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$1.92Nov 5, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$1.12Oct 9, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$0.01Oct 9, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $21.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 27, 03:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 04:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".