Narrow-Peninsula
0xaec38658ae47a6aabe8839f40e6d7da7996222df
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$58.7K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
7571 shares @ 87.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.3K
$743.72
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
6508 shares @ 89.9¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.2K
$393.05
- NO
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
6792 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.0K
$-98.67
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
6188 shares @ 92.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.8K
$146.17
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3958 shares @ 94.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.8K
$22.74
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
3500 shares @ 94.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.2K
$-95.25
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
3664 shares @ 73.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$428.33
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.4K
$38.75
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
2000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$-50.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12916 shares @ 14.3¢·now 13.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.8K
$-77.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$7.5KMay 18, 06:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.15May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$5.29May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$139.49May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$354.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 17, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMPSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5$0.00May 17, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Volendam win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 17, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Groningen win on 2026-05-17?$500.00May 17, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMAZ vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5$465.12May 17, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$860.86May 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$53.14May 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Volendam win on 2026-05-17?$202.47May 17, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAZ vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5$401.68May 17, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?$36.37May 17, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$887.16May 17, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5$118.30May 17, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.4KMay 17, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Groningen win on 2026-05-17?$90.87May 17, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $282.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".