Short-Term-Home
0xaf1fa57e28aedc497a3f7dcdc5f3a28900db559e
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-385.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1100 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$-0.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
173 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$172.57
$0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
62 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$62.00
$0.06
- NO
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
21 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.91
$-0.05
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
18 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.74
$-0.01
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7529 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.29
$-3.76
- YES
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6765 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.15
$-3.38
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2878 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.32
$-1.44
- KARMINE CORP
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs
604 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-247.64
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
99 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$19.62May 15, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$11.41May 15, 13:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$172.52May 13, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$61.94May 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$17.75May 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.1KMay 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$318.65May 13, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 7?$10.40May 13, 08:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$93.90May 10, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$280.00May 10, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$336.00May 10, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $313.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".