Plain-Filly
0xaf1fed0f8aba1a09dde3e9c88812f441db4be66f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$223.57
Total PnL
$-679.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
462 shares @ 65.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$196.19
$-107.49
- YES
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
1480 shares @ 10.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.38
$-120.62
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
3555 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
2067 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-351.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$307.84May 14, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$106.87May 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$147.64May 7, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$351.34Mar 27, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$100.00Mar 20, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucker Carlson federally charged?$148.00Mar 17, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $193.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 14:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".