Official-Intention
0xaf2b87d711b844019ae2b797a3f87e73ccce0728
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$493.10
Total PnL
$-34.23
Realised
$1.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 15.8¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$91.25
$12.25
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$83.25
$6.25
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1000 shares @ 9.7¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.40
$-25.60
- NO
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$70.49
$-3.50
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$56.75
$1.25
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$41.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30?
1542 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$39.17
$-7.09
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.50
$6.50
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
225 shares @ 11.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.04
$-21.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30? $5.98May 18, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00May 18, 07:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $5.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".