Animated-Riddle
0xaf458bee32b8f1d9ba39ee876f20c7e3ce62ec7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$241.5K
Total PnL
$85.0K
Realised
$-8.4K
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
262619 shares @ 39.5¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.2K
$80.5K
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
18973 shares @ 82.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.7K
$2.0K
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.7K
$-25.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
13046 shares @ 38.7¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.3K
$4.3K
- NO
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?
8699 shares @ 78.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$8.6K
$1.8K
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
340982 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.9K
$1.9K
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
105064 shares @ 1.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.2K
$1.7K
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
3372 shares @ 39.3¢·now 59.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.0K
$687.99
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
2352 shares @ 49.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$532.22
- NO
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?
106 shares @ 56.7¢·now 73.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$77.07
$17.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.95May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.92May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.64May 16, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$1.92May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$21.82May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.97May 15, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$1.89May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.85May 14, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.26May 13, 00:45 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.94May 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$1.74May 13, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$13.25May 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$20.23May 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$49.19May 12, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$22.25May 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$130.50May 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$77.43May 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$130.33May 12, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$77.43May 12, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$69.59May 12, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $151.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".