Studious-Macadamia
0xaf635a106742f1f51cd242da7b863ba1f1e51375
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$49.90
Realised
$33.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?
4514 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$4.5K
$60.95
- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1009 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$4.06
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
717 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$698.25
$-3.94
- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
250 shares @ 93.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$178.75
$-53.75
- NO
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
112 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$105.08
$0.78
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$100.15
$0.15
- NO
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 89.1¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$96.38
$7.21
- NO
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 93.7¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$96.16
$2.45
- NO
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
25 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.77
$-0.03
- NO
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
25 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.63
$-0.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$68.15May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$4.4KMay 17, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$14.00May 17, 09:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?$4.9KMay 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?$1.2KMay 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$702.75May 16, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?$3.7KMay 16, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$5.7KMay 16, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$13.92May 15, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.7KMay 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$2.02May 14, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?$1.6KMay 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$100.00May 14, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$4.0KMay 14, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?$3.6KMay 14, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?$2.9KMay 14, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 21:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".