New-Maniac
0xaf749a750b1366d667736cd5f8c5dda65f94d478
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$506.30
Total PnL
$-728.42
Realised
$17.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
3163 shares @ 25.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$490.26
$-300.49
- YES
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
386 shares @ 32.5¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.03
$-109.63
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?
440 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-325.38
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?$8.63Apr 16, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?$24.89Apr 16, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?$27.00Apr 16, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 15?$52.43Apr 16, 07:41 UTC
- REWARD$0.03Apr 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 15?$40.84Apr 15, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?$41.13Apr 15, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?$36.66Apr 15, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?$1.12Apr 15, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14?$34.32Apr 15, 08:26 UTC
- REWARD$0.32Apr 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14?$4.27Apr 14, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14?$9.87Apr 14, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?$3.14Apr 14, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14?$19.48Apr 14, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?$4.10Apr 14, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?$1.00Apr 14, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?$23.81Apr 14, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?$6.72Apr 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?$24.80Apr 14, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $38.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".