Tidy-Diagram
0xafa3c6d2874ed195092c452825270c6405dac3dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$628.19
Total PnL
$-252.63
Realised
$-11.36
Win rate
53%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
312 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$312.00
$40.56
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?
114 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$114.00
$14.82
- NO
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
54 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$54.00
$9.72
- YES
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
71 shares @ 58.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$35.15
$-6.03
- NO
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?
35 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$35.00
$22.40
- YES
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$22.00
$16.94
- YES
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
48 shares @ 69.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.68
$-19.44
- YES
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.00
$-46.00
- NO
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$8.00
$1.04
- NO
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
6 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$6.42
$2.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$160.95Feb 8, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$93.94Feb 8, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$25.01Feb 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$269.62Feb 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$22.24Jan 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$24.88Jan 11, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$2.20Jan 11, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$278.08Jan 11, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$53.01Jan 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$38.40Jan 11, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$67.19Jan 11, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by March 31?$44.37Jan 11, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by March 31?$100.92Jan 11, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by March 31?$31.68Jan 10, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by March 31?$88.56Jan 10, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRippling IPO before 2027?$36.80Jan 10, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLRippling IPO before 2027?$82.80Jan 10, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$4.94Jan 10, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$2.66Jan 10, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$177.16Jan 10, 15:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $83.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".