High-Substance
0xafb1cd803291e1ca69642ace32c2dddb10e10329
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.1K
Total PnL
$-55.14
Realised
$26.62
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3356 shares @ 82.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$169.86
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4788 shares @ 22.9¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$95.08
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
667 shares @ 83.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$618.68
$62.19
- NO
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 57.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$120.00
$6.00
- NO
Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
127 shares @ 60.0¢·now 88.7¢·exp May 28, 2026$112.65
$36.48
- NO
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
236 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$109.60
$-8.25
- NO
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
169 shares @ 53.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.50
$10.98
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
88 shares @ 35.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$87.25
$56.43
- NO
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
86 shares @ 69.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$82.23
$22.76
- NO
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
67 shares @ 75.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$65.50
$15.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$6.30May 17, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$5.95May 17, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$8.70May 17, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$14.22May 17, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$17.03May 17, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$19.42May 17, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$21.17May 17, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael Fiziev fight Paddy Pimblett next?$29.35May 17, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoffenheim finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$32.95May 17, 13:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$25.39May 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$300.56May 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$52.84May 15, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 15, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 15, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 15, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $135.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".