Playful-Quest
0xaffd48725d43bdb62a41c8f81470a098a4c1b072
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-672.65
Realised
$126.60
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- OVER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
1213 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.2K
$230.47
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
886 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$744.24
$26.58
- MID-AMERICA CHRISTIAN EVANGELS
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
643 shares @ 14.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$321.50
$231.48
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
108 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$54.00
$-1.08
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.88
$0.88
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
6 shares @ 59.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.34
$1.80
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
13 shares @ 45.0¢·now 29.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.74
$-1.94
- YES
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 30.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.11
$-0.20
- YES
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
1086 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-238.92
- OVER
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
909 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-299.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$327.24Apr 23, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$341.82Apr 23, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$313.47Apr 23, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$70.29Apr 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$125.29Apr 12, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$60.03Apr 12, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$378.14Apr 11, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$93.24Apr 11, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$85.36Apr 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$89.32Apr 11, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$81.40Apr 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$54.81Apr 11, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$55.08Apr 11, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$477.75Apr 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$271.86Apr 11, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$130.34Apr 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$184.24Apr 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$717.66Apr 10, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$260.55Apr 10, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$203.70Apr 10, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $227.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 11:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".