Troubled-Warden
0xb0376ac8c7b5c3e772ccfdfb2eada3315c5571f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$12.93
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
6465 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 18, 2026$12.93
$-3.0K
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?
767 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
278 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-165.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
197 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
106 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-44.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10AM ET
91 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
82 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-24.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
15 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will ETSY (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$3.1KMay 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$283.50May 12, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$4.0KMay 11, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$1.0KMay 11, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$1.0KMay 10, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$972.01May 9, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?$1.3KMay 5, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?$0.00May 5, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?$512.49May 3, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?$103.14May 3, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$508.70Apr 29, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$0.98Apr 29, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 29, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?$715.75Apr 28, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?$0.00Apr 28, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?$500.00Apr 26, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?$150.15Apr 26, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?$200.00Apr 25, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$80.59Apr 24, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$100.00Apr 24, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $320.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 05:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".