Watchful-Binoculars
0xb040634cfe6d3ca5295e915ad0077d4016bfef71
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$83.37
Total PnL
$-10.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
58 shares @ 42.0¢·now 39.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$22.86
$-1.42
- NO
Will Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?
26 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$16.82
$-0.13
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?
58 shares @ 18.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$11.83
$1.44
- NO
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
23 shares @ 49.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.63
$-0.82
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
14 shares @ 51.8¢·now 58.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.99
$0.92
- NO
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.70
$-1.66
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$4.28
$-1.14
- NO
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
6 shares @ 70.5¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.26
$0.03
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.40 on May 17?
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$0.34May 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$4.23May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$23.94May 18, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?$14.19May 18, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?$16.38May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?$10.73May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?$5.51May 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 19?$13.36May 18, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 19?$13.84May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 19?$9.26May 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 19?$0.62May 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 19?$6.60May 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 19?$12.86May 17, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 19?$6.55May 17, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 19?$2.92May 17, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 19?$3.60May 17, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?$6.08May 17, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 19?$9.04May 17, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?$0.00May 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 19?$3.60May 17, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".