Reliable-Airman
0xb04a46908c7cd7e62acbbbf08ec6e395336bacfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$6.7K
Total PnL
$-412.29
Realised
$222.88
Win rate
39%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1190 shares @ 84.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$73.87
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
853 shares @ 83.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$720.93
$11.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
465 shares @ 92.3¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$424.91
$-4.64
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
9108 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$346.12
$73.40
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
499 shares @ 61.0¢·now 64.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$322.68
$18.27
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
327 shares @ 92.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$295.94
$-7.90
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$294.30
$6.24
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
361 shares @ 84.1¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$292.14
$-11.29
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
1980 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$267.30
$-9.90
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
240 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$239.88
$7.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$35.83May 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$68.81May 18, 02:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.41May 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$9.54May 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.41May 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.41May 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.59May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.44May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.41May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$2.35May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.33May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.34May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.34May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$3.15May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.55May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.35May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.48May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.30May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$15.30May 17, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $55.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".