Functional-Balloonist
0xb07f85d3c8fb81f36e472625bd10898e17723c41
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$41.1K
Total PnL
$-14.2K
Realised
$565.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
78457 shares @ 65.5¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.8K
$-10.6K
- NO
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
357 shares @ 84.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$297.84
$-2.16
- NO
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
9375 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-375.00
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
3612 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
1087 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?
989 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
760 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?
346 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$208.60Apr 29, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$364.66Apr 28, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$250.00Apr 27, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$203.48Apr 27, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$249.99Apr 27, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.7KApr 27, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$639.99Apr 27, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$90.00Apr 27, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$58.50Apr 27, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$90.00Apr 27, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$7.77Apr 27, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$7.77Apr 27, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$7.20Apr 27, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$7.20Apr 27, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$90.00Apr 27, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$129.00Apr 27, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$7.20Apr 27, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$7.20Apr 27, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$25.16Apr 27, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$90.00Apr 27, 14:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 15:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 12:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".