Chubby-Excess
0xb09fb2408a5efc16d9ff29e7b0e1b705e8f18ede
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$53.63
Total PnL
$-11.66
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 45.9¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.67
$0.67
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.22
$1.02
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.17
$0.27
- NO
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 76.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.62
$0.62
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.39May 10, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.11May 10, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.14May 10, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$2.04May 10, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.11May 10, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$2.22May 10, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$5.00May 10, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?$5.58May 10, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?$1.42Apr 30, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik$1.59Apr 30, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMLa Bisbal: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Anastasia Zakharova$1.83Apr 30, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMLa Bisbal: Ashlyn Krueger vs Storm Hunter$2.79Apr 30, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli$2.91Apr 30, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?$3.26Apr 30, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?$1.00Apr 27, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik$1.00Apr 27, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli$2.00Apr 27, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?$1.00Apr 27, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLa Bisbal: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Anastasia Zakharova$1.00Apr 27, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLa Bisbal: Ashlyn Krueger vs Storm Hunter$2.00Apr 27, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".