Sugary-Shape
0xb0bc67b38a585fb29ec950c11832d87fb34bd246
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$317.86
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
836 shares @ 61.5¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$317.86
$-196.42
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
12303 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?
1196 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-555.01
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
517 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$300.00Jan 15, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?$400.00Jan 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?$114.27Jan 6, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$185.23Dec 1, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$11.73Dec 1, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$20.97Dec 1, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$3.28Dec 1, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$82.00Dec 1, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$248.83Dec 1, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$2.96Dec 1, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1000.00Sep 15, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $215.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 15, 19:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".