Lively-Modem
0xb11acb7e1bdc8a69096690c2168a990c75deedfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$177.38
Total PnL
$39.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
177 shares @ 56.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$112.41
$12.41
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?
134 shares @ 3.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$22.30
$17.30
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?
131 shares @ 7.6¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.92
$7.92
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?
57 shares @ 17.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.79
$2.79
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?
46 shares @ 10.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.64
$2.64
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.25T and 1.50T?
49 shares @ 10.2¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.46
$-2.54
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?
56 shares @ 5.3¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.86
$-1.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00May 4, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00May 4, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?$0.00May 4, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?$0.00May 4, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$0.00May 4, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.7 released by May 31?$0.00May 4, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 4, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.7 released by June 30?$0.00May 4, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1520?$0.00May 4, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?$0.00May 4, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?$8.00Apr 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?$2.00Apr 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$10.36Apr 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$19.29Apr 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?$0.03Apr 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?$1.00Apr 17, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?$10.00Apr 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?$20.00Apr 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?$20.00Apr 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?$27.00Apr 17, 17:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".