Innocent-Nobody
0xb120679099d26b0af04811c26c6077c587f9f2ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$422.55
Win rate
33%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
1612 shares @ 42.1¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$838.08
$159.63
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10001 shares @ 21.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$550.06
$-1.6K
- YES
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
492 shares @ 39.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$383.56
$191.59
- YES
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
450 shares @ 50.2¢·now 79.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$355.36
$129.42
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
347 shares @ 64.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$147.57
$-74.65
- YES
Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?
186 shares @ 34.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$146.29
$82.93
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
594 shares @ 65.5¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$145.52
$-243.65
- YES
Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
821 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$135.93
$-1.08
- NO
Will Kobey Layne win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
110 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$109.63
$-0.27
- YES
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
581 shares @ 23.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$84.26
$-54.77
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.63May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$45.10May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.63May 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$33.47May 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$1.00May 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$23.81May 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$1.09May 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$1.09May 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$31.77May 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$223.17May 16, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$141.57May 16, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$17.87May 16, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$0.00May 16, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.30May 16, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$22.89May 15, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $51.38May 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?$42.16May 15, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?$9.60May 15, 14:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.18May 15, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.02May 15, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $30.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".