Lustrous-Doorway
0xb12897c1a963e73a3e1682398c03fce18d57cf58
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$18.1K
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$-236.20
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
147533 shares @ 3.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.9K
$1.3K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
18651 shares @ 26.8¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.6K
$-360.95
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
2876 shares @ 75.8¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$6.71
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
34527 shares @ 13.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$-3.1K
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
11558 shares @ 28.3¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$924.68
$-2.3K
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1366 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$870.80
$37.56
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
25000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$612.50
$312.50
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1057 shares @ 49.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$565.57
$47.57
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1471 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$463.24
$-36.76
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
6703 shares @ 29.8¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$318.38
$-1.7K
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.41May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.43May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.49May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.55May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.36May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.32May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.29May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.29May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.21May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.28May 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$62.08May 8, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$92.19May 8, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.0KMay 8, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.2KMay 8, 12:55 UTC
- YIELD$1.36May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.30May 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$5.80May 6, 07:03 UTC
- YIELD$1.28May 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.9KMay 5, 15:35 UTC
- YIELD$1.27May 5, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".