0xb15678e24bedc78ad1b13ac7f6fddedd972a8454
0xb15678e24bedc78ad1b13ac7f6fddedd972a8454
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$105.05
Total PnL
$-6.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
177 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$91.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
13 shares @ 74.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$9.21
$-0.74
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
498 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$4.73
$-5.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?$0.00May 10, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?$0.00May 10, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$10.03May 6, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$10.24May 6, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?$9.95Apr 28, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?$19.90Apr 26, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$92.00Jan 24, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $28.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 16:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".