Scary-Handlebar
0xb1615ea2a36c1edd4a3b67ce9fd7e8aa6d9c9132
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
150
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$35.99
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3000 shares @ 93.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$-32.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1600 shares @ 79.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$212.00
- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
200 shares @ 57.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.50
$-14.50
- NO
Chirayu Rana sued?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.00
$15.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
100 shares @ 28.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.50
$13.50
- YES
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?
100 shares @ 53.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.50
$-12.00
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
40 shares @ 19.8¢·now 93.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.35
$29.44
- YES
Will AC Milan qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$35.52
$5.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.28May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.25May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.77May 17, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.30May 17, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.30May 17, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.30May 17, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.30May 17, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.24May 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.62May 17, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.00May 17, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.24May 17, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$27.65May 17, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.9KMay 17, 02:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?$20.00May 16, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$148.53May 16, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$200.01May 16, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.8KMay 16, 11:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $65.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".