Drafty-Rod
0xb18666862cac8eca9ee6c9c3ec718cb22cce1ed5
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$255.15
Total PnL
$-327.84
Realised
$2.21
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2840 shares @ 15.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$127.80
$-310.67
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
204 shares @ 7.2¢·now 47.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$96.31
$81.64
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
184 shares @ 10.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.25
$-4.71
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
122 shares @ 14.1¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$10.94
$-6.21
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
18 shares @ 17.3¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.86
$1.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 30?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 25?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 24?
360 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.42Apr 23, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$90.00Apr 23, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$15.00Apr 23, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$75.00Apr 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.70Apr 23, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$182.72Apr 23, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.80Apr 23, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$14.16Apr 23, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.00Apr 22, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$12.00Apr 22, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$35.10Apr 21, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$12.63Apr 21, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$17.15Apr 19, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$14.67Apr 19, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$3.11Apr 19, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.25Mar 12, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.19Mar 12, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.97Mar 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.60Mar 12, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $13.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".