Weak-Dinner
0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$33.6K
Total PnL
$-593.2K
Realised
$5.0K
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
10000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.3K
$650.00
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
30000 shares @ 43.1¢·now 29.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.0K
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
131273 shares @ 8.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.9K
$-4.4K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.2K
$125.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
5000 shares @ 32.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$1.5K
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$950.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
462 shares @ 35.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.93
$-87.79
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
689788 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-346.6K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
147010 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.8K
- NO
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
110000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-627.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.76May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.78May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.79May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.78May 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$48.3KMay 12, 01:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$42.10May 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 12, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$19.15May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.4KMay 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$234.21May 11, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.84May 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$214.38May 11, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$214.38May 11, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$214.38May 11, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$214.38May 11, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$84.40May 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$214.38May 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$214.38May 11, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $230.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".