0xb1fdf8c7dd3ad91b9b24879385c53f880f1dbd30
0xb1fdf8c7dd3ad91b9b24879385c53f880f1dbd30
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
142
Open notional
$74.20
Total PnL
$-91.40
Realised
$9.71
Win rate
100%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- NO
Will AZ win on 2025-12-14?
10 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$10.00
$6.80
- YES
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-17?
10 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$10.00
$7.70
- NO
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.37
$2.37
- DUCKS
Kings vs. Ducks
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$5.00
$2.35
- NO
Will Trump say "Ego" in January?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.63
$1.48
- YES
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Cory Sandhagen next?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 46.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.63
$4.43
- YES
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.20
$-0.60
- YES
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.65
$1.75
- NO
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$3.64
$0.58
- NO
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 56.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.76
$0.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$1.40Apr 15, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$0.58Apr 1, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?$1.82Mar 31, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tereza Valentova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?$0.25Mar 31, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beyoncé release a new song in 2026?$1.00Mar 30, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leylah Fernandez be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.20Mar 20, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?$7.30Mar 15, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.35Feb 26, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.60Feb 25, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD0 depeg by December 31?$2.40Feb 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christopher Swann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?$0.15Feb 19, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.40Feb 16, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zimbabwe finish second in the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?$0.42Feb 15, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill William Null win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$0.90Feb 14, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$1.65Feb 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.6m & 14.8m square kilometers?$0.85Feb 9, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adam Steen win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$1.90Feb 4, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.50Feb 2, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$16.79Jan 29, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cory Sandhagen be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.08Jan 27, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 16:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".