Unwilling-Reconsideration
0xb2249831dd4780479f2e8862cf5357926dd0290e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$48.81
Total PnL
$-31.76
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
323 shares @ 2.8¢·now 5.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$15.97
$6.97
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.70
$3.70
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 62.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
12 shares @ 16.6¢·now 24.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.96
$0.96
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.21
$1.21
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 24.1¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 10.4¢·now 14.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 14.2¢·now 18.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 58.9¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.00May 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.00May 7, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 7, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.03May 7, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.01May 7, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.10May 7, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.10May 7, 01:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 01:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".