Intentional-Neck
0xb23756da2fcf999f3e9074e50fda3deea1e776aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$221.95
Total PnL
$-386.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
736 shares @ 40.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.88
$-172.12
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
236 shares @ 21.2¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.99
$-6.01
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
665 shares @ 33.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.92
$-195.08
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
68 shares @ 7.3¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
325 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.39
$-0.61
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
132 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.43
$-2.57
- YES
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?
112 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.19
$-2.81
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.13
$-2.87
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.59
$-3.41
- YES
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.54
$-0.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.00May 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?$0.00May 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?$0.00May 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.00May 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$0.00May 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$0.00May 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$0.00May 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 6?$0.00May 18, 08:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.74May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.20May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$7.92May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$7.17May 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$27.35May 16, 22:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $7.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".