Clear-Cut-Gravel
0xb242190d0b440b508aed93a963dbbd603890eb89
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.1K
Total PnL
$-13.4K
Realised
$-3.4K
Win rate
40%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
2038 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$144.25
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
1977 shares @ 78.7¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.5K
$-102.14
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1045 shares @ 65.2¢·now 64.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$676.24
$-4.82
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3668 shares @ 18.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$641.91
$-25.10
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
491 shares @ 94.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$480.56
$16.12
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
668 shares @ 50.8¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$477.84
$138.20
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
483 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$457.93
$-2.62
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1455 shares @ 52.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$414.55
$-347.16
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
714 shares @ 51.2¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$410.43
$45.16
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
320 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$311.83
$11.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$28.41May 18, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$189.25May 18, 06:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$126.80May 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$52.40May 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$57.86May 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$70.03May 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$193.40May 17, 06:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.14May 16, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$134.30May 16, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$7.74May 16, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$78.29May 16, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$92.66May 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$346.23May 16, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$74.94May 16, 01:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$3.61May 15, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$45.36May 15, 11:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $98.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".