Bewitched-Merchant
0xb2539c6e857372d90bc648b59498cb6e5ec42d38
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-19.17
Realised
$40.57
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
115 shares @ 91.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$110.83
$5.83
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$72.16
$0.16
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
74 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$70.67
$1.67
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
64 shares @ 90.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.29
$-0.71
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$0.00
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
84 shares @ 62.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.53
$-5.47
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 in May?
41 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$40.74
$0.74
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
41 shares @ 92.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.16
$1.15
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
36 shares @ 83.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.38
$0.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$3.09May 17, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.16May 17, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$3.76May 17, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.01May 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.04May 17, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.06May 17, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$1.23May 17, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$4.15May 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?$3.10May 17, 11:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$7.00May 16, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$10.00May 16, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?$1.06May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00May 16, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$7.07May 16, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.03May 16, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.02May 16, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.03May 16, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.01May 16, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".