Giving-Oven
0xb2bf75d18519369f20c64e995d6670fce70cf5ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
34151 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$802.56
$-230.08
- YES
US military draft authorized in 2026?
3975 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$337.89
$4.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
209 shares @ 8.2¢·now 22.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$47.62
$30.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
1026 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$27.71
$-13.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?
435 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$21.76
$5.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
120 shares @ 6.4¢·now 15.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$18.77
$11.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?
148 shares @ 2.2¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$16.23
$13.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?
324 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$15.69
$3.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
105 shares @ 2.1¢·now 11.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.92
$9.73
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
141 shares @ 10.2¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.45
$-3.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.97May 18, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$42.92May 18, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$36.40May 18, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.18May 18, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?$4.85May 18, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?$1.35May 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$4.67May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in May 2026?$5.26May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$8.40May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?$6.68May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?$2.97May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?$13.52May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.77May 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?$5.68May 18, 01:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?$4.92May 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 19?$1.57May 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 19?$2.66May 17, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 19?$1.75May 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 19?$3.03May 17, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".