Talkative-Manatee
0xb3386988c5ea5b50f14d7801f4adc756c9e51ff0
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$421.85
Total PnL
$-86.93
Realised
$-0.90
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
314 shares @ 54.7¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$177.14
$5.50
- YES
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
170 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$170.00
$44.20
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
65 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.13
$0.32
- NO
Databricks IPO before 2027?
34 shares @ 35.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.41
$17.51
- YES
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
26 shares @ 43.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.42
$-6.76
- YES
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
59 shares @ 11.8¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.98
$-2.96
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.83
$-0.30
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-1.82
- YES
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
4 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$0.04
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
343 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-37.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00May 7, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00May 7, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Chargers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?$68.00May 7, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$172.00May 7, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$184.00May 7, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$431.60May 7, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$19.72Apr 21, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$13.94Apr 21, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLRipple Labs IPO before 2027?$9.88Apr 21, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?$2.97Apr 21, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?$1.65Apr 21, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$17.69Apr 21, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?$32.34Apr 21, 04:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 31, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 29, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 28, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 26, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $14.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 09:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".