Tedious-Bean
0xb36b96950b467e10fd4f5504fd659ec9961e7804
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$3.0K
Realised
$2.8K
Win rate
100%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
125096 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$312.74
$129.47
- YES
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?
125088 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$312.72
$143.23
- YES
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
99999 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$250.00
$50.10
- YES
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
126525 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$189.79
$-4.05
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
200 shares @ 90.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.70
$5.10
- YES
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
118428 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$177.64
$4.14
- YES
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100460 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$150.69
$-7.53
- YES
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
99903 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$149.85
$6.79
- YES
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
95719 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$143.58
$-47.86
- YES
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
92432 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$138.65
$-9.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.35May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.09May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.29May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.43May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.24May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.25May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.33May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.78May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.34May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.35May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.19May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.77May 18, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".