Shadowy-Dame
0xb386282f62a9179f6067ab48f2c2d0d2a91474cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-2.6K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
21237 shares @ 13.1¢·now 5.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.3K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
8 shares @ 33.4¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-0.15
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
13 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$0.02May 9, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$10.35May 9, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$44.98May 9, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$5.10May 9, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$3.06May 9, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$1.10May 9, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$1.70May 8, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$1.70May 8, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.00May 7, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$1.12May 7, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$31.43May 6, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$45.00May 6, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$45.00May 6, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$42.30May 6, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$38.77May 6, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.65May 4, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00May 4, 18:26 UTC
- REWARD$1.59May 3, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$52.63May 2, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$128.64May 2, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $56.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 14:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".