0xb3d86c5629bd87287bfeda3a7e9f6246ce7453d5
0xb3d86c5629bd87287bfeda3a7e9f6246ce7453d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$8.85
Total PnL
$-8.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16 shares @ 6.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 18?
22 shares @ 9.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.64
$-1.36
- DOWN
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?
7 shares @ 19.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.29
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$1.07May 18, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?$1.05May 18, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?$1.05May 18, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.05May 18, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.35 on May 17?$0.00May 18, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 on May 17?$0.00May 18, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 17?$0.00May 18, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?$0.00May 18, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?$9.24May 18, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?$1.41May 18, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 18?$1.07May 18, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 18?$1.04May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 18?$1.04May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 18?$1.04May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 18?$1.04May 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 18?$1.07May 18, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".