Occasional-Paranoia
0xb3e07822e66b667e6a0f4dbfe7425295b60272a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$455.06
Win rate
85%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1667 shares @ 19.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$975.30
$643.28
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
1398 shares @ 31.5¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$328.50
$-111.49
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1174 shares @ 12.8¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$214.21
$64.21
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2164 shares @ 6.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$178.49
$28.50
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18061 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$171.58
$-46.38
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?
500 shares @ 14.5¢·now 30.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$151.25
$78.75
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
1000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.00
$0.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 11.9¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$113.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?
500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$107.50
$47.50
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
150 shares @ 33.3¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.33
$55.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?$100.00May 18, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$14.29May 18, 01:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?$34.48May 17, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 20?$10.65May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 20?$10.61May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 19?$10.66May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?$10.57May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 19?$10.62May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 18?$10.67May 17, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$10.61May 17, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$35.52May 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?$21.50May 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$53.31May 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$25.87May 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$39.77May 17, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner$1.03May 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner$10.04May 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17?$10.23May 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?$10.22May 17, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".