Quirky-Supervision
0xb3e1d683afd0d4e0ebba384660913306eedbf6de
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$172.50
Total PnL
$-0.78
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
51 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.57
$-0.36
- NO
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
51 shares @ 98.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.44
$-0.94
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
51 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.98
$0.38
- NO
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
25 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.51
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$50.39May 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$50.18May 12, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$2.71May 12, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$24.38May 12, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$0.93May 12, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$13.23May 12, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$11.81May 12, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$49.93May 11, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$48.59May 11, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$25.95May 10, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$4.75May 10, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$28.76May 10, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?$0.00May 10, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?$52.00May 10, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$50.13May 10, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$35.83May 6, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?$49.65May 6, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?$1.20May 6, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$19.96May 4, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$19.94May 3, 13:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $27.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".