Long-Stuff
0xb48b1a8f796ba414672f8974dbfedca5c6c504eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.9K
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4000 shares @ 93.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.8K
$70.00
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
2563 shares @ 74.4¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$374.67
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
3000 shares @ 64.4¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$64.07
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
1709 shares @ 76.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$308.82
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
1594 shares @ 87.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$99.82
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1000 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$982.50
$31.50
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
1150 shares @ 58.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$799.13
$126.64
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
1212 shares @ 57.3¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$757.51
$63.23
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
500 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$499.75
$94.75
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
650 shares @ 32.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$419.25
$211.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$98.30May 16, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$234.00May 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$380.00May 16, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.2KMay 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$19.08May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$119.65May 16, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.3KMay 16, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$444.00May 15, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$353.22May 15, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.15May 15, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.92May 15, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$2.92May 15, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$2.56May 15, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$802.13May 15, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.0KMay 15, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$1.7KMay 15, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$792.33May 15, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$930.00May 11, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by May 8?$373.71May 11, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.9KMay 11, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $271.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".