Deafening-Few
0xb4e18c629433c9a15d52d88253e70a6cfe19f848
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$46.29
Total PnL
$-15.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.16
$0.16
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.59
$-0.31
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.09
$0.12
- NO
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$4.64
$0.10
- NO
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.96
$-0.04
- NO
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.50
$0.10
- NO
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.49
$0.05
- NO
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
4 shares @ 97.3¢·now 91.1¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$3.28
$-0.22
- NO
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$5.90May 15, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Audemars Piguet Index hit $39,000 (LOW) by April 30?$0.88May 13, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 44m?$2.67May 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman in jail by June 30?$4.00May 13, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$3.50Apr 25, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6.00Apr 19, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 44m?$2.60Apr 17, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.00Apr 15, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Audemars Piguet Index hit $39,000 (LOW) by April 30?$1.59Apr 12, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Audemars Piguet Index hit $39,000 (LOW) by April 30?$0.39Apr 11, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.23Apr 10, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$6.57Apr 8, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$3.40Apr 6, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Audemars Piguet Index hit $39,000 (LOW) by April 30?$2.52Apr 5, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?$1.06Apr 2, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethena reach $0.16 in March?$2.11Apr 2, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?$4.66Apr 2, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 30?$13.07Apr 2, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.70Apr 1, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$4.97Mar 30, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $212.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 05:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".