Smoggy-Sunglasses
0xb4f2592e67c333e73c923547cfe05e768180e5fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$135.1K
Total PnL
$-948.36
Realised
$371.58
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
11710 shares @ 60.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.2K
$2.2K
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
9100 shares @ 81.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.8K
$1.4K
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
8728 shares @ 69.9¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.4K
$2.3K
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
8718 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$8.1K
$884.83
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
10271 shares @ 36.8¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.4K
$3.6K
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
12312 shares @ 57.8¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.3K
$215.19
- NO
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?
7057 shares @ 88.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.0K
$730.45
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
7400 shares @ 67.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.9K
$1.9K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
6742 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.4K
$421.36
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
6027 shares @ 86.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.4K
$179.20
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.54May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$12.30May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$6.18May 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$0.62May 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.24May 17, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.50May 17, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$2.60May 17, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$0.12May 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$110.34May 17, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.5KMay 17, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$512.80May 17, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$413.92May 17, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$166.21May 17, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$3.5KMay 17, 04:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.73May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$5.39May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?$69.00May 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.6KMay 16, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$3.0KMay 16, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$182.00May 16, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $500.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".