0xb4f655b9314dd464b42da40f82a1df65375feada
0xb4f655b9314dd464b42da40f82a1df65375feada
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-95.18
Realised
$-13.35
Win rate
44%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
72 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$71.26
$1.26
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
72 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$71.26
$1.26
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
73 shares @ 95.6¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$71.20
$1.20
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
71 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$70.36
$0.36
- NO
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
71 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.32
$0.32
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
72 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.97
$-0.04
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
77 shares @ 91.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$69.96
$-0.03
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
74 shares @ 94.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$69.74
$-0.26
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
77 shares @ 91.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$66.54
$-3.46
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 91.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$64.70
$-4.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?$17.51May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by May 31?$33.17May 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by May 31?$6.02May 18, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by May 31?$2.30May 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by May 31?$2.17May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by May 31?$23.98May 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by May 31?$0.26May 18, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by May 31?$16.05May 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by May 31?$0.21May 18, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$23.27May 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by May 31?$19.67May 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by May 31?$9.78May 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$33.03May 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$35.04May 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$35.04May 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$35.06May 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.99May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$35.02May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$70.96May 17, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 17?$30.31May 17, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $13.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".