Safe-Switching
0xb4fb61524078c01d15c4f35f069d32f6198f7f7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$253.78
Total PnL
$-343.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
211 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$210.94
$75.94
- YES
Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
108 shares @ 12.1¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$30.68
$17.68
- YES
Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
211 shares @ 30.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.37
$-55.62
- YES
Will "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
130 shares @ 26.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.79
$-32.21
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: January
349 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-178.00
- YES
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
209 shares @ 71.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-149.22
- YES
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?
164 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-22.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$13.57May 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$22.88May 2, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.36May 2, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$42.64May 2, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$36.28May 2, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$135.00Apr 16, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$189.19Apr 16, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$154.00Mar 23, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$201.13Mar 23, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?$302.42Mar 23, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$304.69Mar 23, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?$128.73Feb 19, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?$22.45Feb 19, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$70.00Feb 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$42.00Feb 19, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$5.83Feb 19, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?$13.00Feb 19, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?$52.00Feb 19, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?$7.75Feb 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$65.00Feb 17, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $73.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 04:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".