Clear-Balloon
0xb5122573a20be2455af0343ba229ee0df0b9aba5
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$95.61
Realised
$-110.44
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
671 shares @ 58.8¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$523.05
$129.01
- YES
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1148 shares @ 37.1¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$510.76
$84.44
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
499 shares @ 33.1¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$154.60
$-10.40
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
280 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$141.52
$-4.20
- YES
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
360 shares @ 20.6¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$95.40
$21.30
- YES
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
211 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$35.87
$-2.03
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
152 shares @ 28.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.33
$-12.13
- YES
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
111 shares @ 22.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$19.98
$-4.44
- YES
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.50
$4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$150.62May 9, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$13.79May 6, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$33.52May 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$50.28May 6, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?$19.06May 5, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?$26.35May 5, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?$155.94May 4, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?$21.08May 4, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$55.91May 4, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?$30.21May 4, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?$25.79May 4, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.93May 1, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$54.20May 1, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$58.72May 1, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$52.70Apr 30, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$51.80Apr 30, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$107.58Apr 30, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$102.52Apr 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$30.00Apr 30, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$27.90Apr 30, 11:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $62.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".